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Previous Stats
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Power Ratings Explained
The Power Ratings system is widely acknowledged as the best about in terms of
match prediction with figures often in the region of
70 %+ Homes
50 %+ Aways
30 %+ Draws
Primitive in nature the mechanics of the system are as follows
1) Every team starts the season on the same number of points.
2) Each team rating is reassesed after every fixture based both on the result
and quality of the opposition.
3) The new rating is carried forward to the next fixture.
4) As the season moves on the better teams gravitate to a position
above the starting point and vice versa for the poorer sides
For our implementation of this system all you need to bear in mind is
1) A score of 11 or over is high and represents a team playing well.
2) A score of 9 or under represents a team playing poorly.
3) From an analysis of the outcomes it would appear that the supremacy barrier is required
to be in the region of 1.5 or over to achieve a reasonable percentage strike rate.
4) A difference between teams from 0 to .5 is considered a draw prediction and the
closer to 0 the more emphatic this prediction is.
Power Ratings AV5 Explained
This is the average of the last 5 power ratings and as such is evaluating over a longer
period.
This is more succesful than power ratings in terms of away predictions
Again for our implementation of this system all you need to bear in mind is
1) A score of 11 or over is high and represents a team playing well.
2) A score of 9 or under represents a team playing poorly.
3) From an analysis of the outcomes it would appear that the supremacy barrier is required
to be in the region of 1.5 or over to achieve a reasonable percentage strike rate.
4) A difference between teams from 0 to .5 is considered a draw prediction and the
closer to 0 the more emphatic this prediction is.
Sequence Profiler Explained
Sequence Profiler analyses all winning and losing sequences over a season in an attempt to establish
the upper and lower limits of all teams with regard to their abiliity to sustain win/lose ratios.
It concentrates not only on winning capability but also the ability of teams to avoid defeat over the period being analysed.
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